True or false: A demand forecast is an informed estimate, not a promise or a target.
3 Demand Planning and Forecasting Online Quiz Questions
Use this free practice quiz with 20 questions to review 3 Demand Planning and Forecasting, test your knowledge, and prepare for your next test or exam.
A store regularly sells more of an item on weekends than on weekdays. Which demand characteristic does this pattern illustrate?
- A
A steady increase in sales as the product gains customers
- B
Higher sales on weekends that recur each week
- C
A one-time sales spike caused by a product launch
- D
Unpredictable demand changes caused by irregular events
To evaluate a time-series forecast by repeatedly training on earlier periods and testing on later ones, use .
A retailer is building a causal forecast for next month. Select all statements supported by sound forecasting practice.
- A
Price can be used as a predictor of demand.
- B
A predictor must be available or forecastable for the period ahead.
- C
A correlation between a predictor and demand proves that the predictor causes demand.
- D
A predictor is useful even when its value for the forecast period cannot be obtained or estimated.
A company is launching a product with little or no sales history. Which approach is most appropriate for incorporating relevant knowledge about the changing market?
- A
Seasonal naïve forecasting
- B
A moving average using a long history
- C
Expert judgment informed by sales, marketing, and operations
- D
Simple exponential smoothing fitted to many stable historical periods
Which forecasting method separately smooths the size of nonzero demands and the time between them for an intermittent-demand series?
True or false: Under the convention that signed error equals actual demand minus forecast demand, a persistent positive bias indicates overforecasting.
- A
True
- B
False
When supply cannot satisfy every request, demand managers according to agreed business rules.
A product has forecast demand of 100 units and actual demand of 120 units. Using the convention et=At−Ft, what is the signed error in units?
A planner is comparing forecasts for an item whose actual demand is zero in some periods. Which statement best explains why MAPE is a poor sole measure for this item?
- A
MAPE is undefined when actual demand is zero, so it should not be the sole measure for intermittent demand.
- B
MAPE reports the typical miss in the original demand units.
- C
MAPE measures average signed error and reveals whether forecasts are too high or too low.
- D
MAPE gives greater influence to large errors by squaring them.
A planning team is choosing between two forecasting methods for a decision made three months ahead. Describe a suitable evaluation approach and explain what the team should compare or check so that the results are useful for this decision.
A planner is using store sales to estimate consumer demand. Which interpretation best accounts for the difference between point-of-sale sales and shipments to a retailer?
- A
POS sales are closer to consumer purchases, but stockouts may make them understate true demand.
- B
Retailer shipments always measure consumer demand more directly than POS sales.
- C
POS sales cannot be affected by product availability.
- D
A stockout should be treated as evidence that ordinary demand was zero.
A retailer and supplier are jointly planning a promotion. Which information would be relevant for them to share to estimate demand and coordinate supply? Select all that apply.
- A
Promotion dates, price, and display plan
- B
Store-level sales history
- C
Inventory and supply constraints
- D
Unrelated personal preferences of individual employees
A retailer is preparing an initial forecast for this December and has a clear annual demand pattern. Which time-series method uses the most relevant historical comparison?
- A
Average demand from the most recent four weeks.
- B
Use demand from the corresponding season in the latest cycle.
- C
Use the most recent actual demand, regardless of season.
- D
Estimate demand from price and advertising data.
Using the convention that signed error is actual demand minus forecast demand, a positive signed error means the forecast was too low.
- A
True
- B
False
A planner uses point-of-sale (POS) data to estimate consumer demand. The item was out of stock for several days. Which interpretation is most appropriate?
- A
Retailer shipments always measure consumer purchases more directly than POS sales.
- B
A stockout proves that consumer demand was zero during that period.
- C
POS sales can understate demand when the product is out of stock.
- D
POS sales should be excluded whenever a retailer carries inventory.
A service part has many periods with no demand, and its occasional orders are irregular. Which approach is specifically suited to this intermittent pattern?
- A
Use a short moving average, which is designed to handle many zero-demand periods.
- B
Consider Croston’s method, which separately estimates nonzero demand size and the interval between demands.
- C
Use MAPE as the sole measure and select the method with the lowest value.
- D
Treat every zero-demand period as a stockout and replace it with an average.
What method separately smooths the size of nonzero demands and the time between them to estimate intermittent demand?
A planner wants to evaluate a time-series forecasting method without using future observations to predict the past. Which procedure best meets this requirement?
- A
Repeatedly train on earlier periods and test on later periods.
- B
Randomly mix all periods into training and test sets.
- C
Fit the method using the entire series, then test it on the same periods.
- D
Test only on the earliest periods and train on later periods.
For a forecast of 100 units and actual demand of 85 units, calculate the signed error using et=At−Ft. Enter the result in units.