What does likelihood mean in risk analysis?
Likelihood is the chance that a risk event will occur.
Study 3 Risk Analysis and Prioritization with 12 free online flashcards. Review key terms, definitions, and concepts with this interactive flashcard deck.
What does likelihood mean in risk analysis?
Likelihood is the chance that a risk event will occur.
What does impact mean in risk analysis?
Impact is the size of the effect if the risk event occurs.
Which objectives can a risk affect?
Consider effects on relevant objectives such as cost, schedule, scope, quality, safety, and performance; identify whether each effect is a threat or an opportunity.
What likelihood bands does the example scale illustrate?
The illustrative likelihood bands are low: under 20%, medium: 20%–50%, and high: over 50%.
Why define project-specific risk rating scales?
Define rating scales for the project. Terms such as “high” can mean different things to different teams, so thresholds should fit the project's context and risk tolerances.
What does a probability–impact matrix do?
A probability–impact matrix combines likelihood and impact ratings to group risks into priority bands.
What is a key limitation of numerical risk scores?
A numerical score is a ranking aid, not a precise measure of risk or a replacement for judgment. Risks with equal scores may still warrant different responses.
What does urgency add to risk prioritization?
Urgency concerns how soon a risk may occur or when action is needed. A lower-rated risk may still need prompt attention if its trigger is near or its response takes time.
What is risk exposure, and what should remain visible?
Exposure summarizes the combined likelihood and consequence. Keep the underlying likelihood, impact, and rationale visible because a single score can hide differences.
What factors should inform risk prioritization?
Consider likelihood, impact on objectives, urgency, uncertainty in the assessment, and dependencies with other risks.
Which risks should be escalated?
Escalate risks that exceed agreed thresholds or threaten safety, legal obligations, or critical objectives.
What should a watch-list risk have?
Record a review trigger for each watch-list risk so the team knows when to reconsider its status.
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