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Cognitive Psychology: Judgment and Decision Making

Focused study of heuristics, cognitive biases and choices under uncertainty.

Study Tools

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Study guides

7

1 Judgment and Decision-Making Under Uncertainty

Understand how people judge likelihood and choose actions under risk and uncertainty, how heuristics can help or bias judgment, and how normative and descriptive models explain decisions.
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2 Heuristics in Estimation and Prediction

Learn how availability, representativeness, and anchoring shape estimates and predictions, and how to check whether their cues provide relevant evidence.
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3 Biases in Belief and Judgment

Understand how confirmation bias, overconfidence, and hindsight bias shape judgments, and use practical checks to evaluate beliefs and decisions more carefully.
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4 Probability and Statistical Reasoning

Understand how probability, base rates, sampling, and regression to the mean shape conclusions drawn from uncertain evidence.
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5 Risk, Value, and Choice

Compare expected utility and prospect theory to understand how probabilities, values, reference points, and framing shape choices under risk and uncertainty.
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6 Framing and the Context of Choice

Learn how framing, reference points, defaults, and choice architecture shape decisions, and apply a practical method for evaluating choices under uncertainty.
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7 Debiasing and Better Decisions

Learn how to reduce predictable decision errors, assess uncertainty, calibrate forecasts, and improve individual and group decision processes.
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Flashcards

7

1 Judgment and Decision-Making Under Uncertainty

Learn how people judge likelihoods and make choices under risk and uncertainty, and how heuristics, biases, and decision models shape those choices.
Flashcards · Updated

2 Heuristics in Estimation and Prediction

Learn how availability, representativeness, and anchoring shape estimates and predictions, and how to check for errors.
Flashcards · Updated

3 Biases in Belief and Judgment

Learn to recognize confirmation bias, overconfidence, and hindsight bias, and use practical checks to make more balanced judgments under uncertainty.
Flashcards · Updated

4 Probability and Statistical Reasoning

Review how probability, sampling, regression to the mean, and cognitive heuristics shape reasoning under uncertainty.
Flashcards · Updated

5 Risk, Value, and Choice

Learn how expected utility and prospect theory explain decisions under risk, including the effects of reference points, loss aversion, and framing.
Flashcards · Updated

6 Framing and the Context of Choice

Learn how framing, reference points, defaults, and choice architecture shape decisions, and how to evaluate choices more deliberately.
Flashcards · Updated

7 Debiasing and Better Decisions

Learn practical ways to reduce predictable decision errors, assess uncertainty, and improve judgment through structured review and feedback.
Flashcards · Updated